Rugby Stats Update

Oct 4, 2016

The predictions from round 5 were rather successful, with a 100% success rate compared to the results of the games, although the winning margins were a little off.

I’ve updated the presentation of the predictions slightly for this week, with a small image in each row of the table representing the confidence in each result

HomeWin ChanceAwayWin ChanceMPM
Connacht30.6% 63.2%Ulster Rugby-2
Edinburgh Rugby97.0% 2.1%Benetton Treviso12
Ospreys99.0% 0.7%Cardiff Blues15
Leinster86.4% 10.2%Munster Rugby8
Zebre0.7% 98.9%Glasgow Warriors-14
Scarlets97.3% 1.8%Newport Gwent Dragons12
Bath92.4% 5.5%Sale Sharks10
Exeter Chiefs97.2% 2.0%Gloucester12
Harlequins38.6% 55.2%Northampton Saints-3
Leicester Tigers99.3% 0.4%Worcester Warriors17
Newcastle Falcons98.0% 1.4%Bristol Rugby13
Saracens97.3% 1.8%London Wasps15